Water Flow Forecasting and River Simulation for Flood Risk Analysis

Galina V. Merkuryeva, Maksims Kornevs


The paper presents the state-of-the-art in flood forecasting and simulation applied to a river flood analysis and risk prediction. Different water flow forecasting and river simulation models are analysed. An advanced river flood forecasting and modelling approach developed within the ongoing project INFROM is described. It provides an integrated procedure for river flow forecasting and simulation advanced by integration of different models for improving predictions of the river flood risk outputs. A case study on river flow modelling and simulation for river flood risk analysis is given


Integrated forecasting and simulation; flood risk output analysis; river simulation; water flow forecasting

Full Text:



P.-K. Chiang, P. Willems, J. Berlamont, "A conceptual river model to support real-time flood control," in Demer,’ River Flow 2010 - Dittrich, Koll, Aberle & Geisenhainer, 2010, pp. 1407-1414.

K.P. Georgakakos, R. Krzysztofowicz, "Probabilistic and Ensemble Forecasting (Editorial)," Journal of Hydrology, 249(1), 2001, pp.1-4.

C. Tucci, W. Collischonn, "Flood forecasting," WMO Bulletin 55 (3), 2006, pp. 179-184.

B. Pradhan, "Effective Flood Monitoring System Using GIT Tools and Remote Sensing Data," Applied Geoinformatics for Society and Environment, Stuttgart University of Applied Sciences, 2009, pp. 63-71.

A. Irimescu, V. Craciunescu, S. Gheorghe, A. Nertan, "Remote Sensing and GIS Techniques for Flood Monitoring and Damage Assessment. Study Case in Romania," in Proceedings of BALWOIS 2010, Ohrid, Republic of Macedonia, May 25-29, 2010, pp.1-10.

C. Skotner, A. Klinting, H.C. Ammentorp, F. Hansen, J. Høst-Madsen, Q.M. Lu, H. Junshan, "A tailored GIS-based forecasting system of Songhua river basin, China," in Proceedings of Esri International user conference, San Diego, 2013, 6 p.

Y.A. Merkuryev, B.V. Sokolov, G.V. Merkuryeva, "Integrated Intelligent Platform for Monitoring the Cross-Border Natural- Technological Systems," in Proceedings of HMS 2012, September 19- 21, 2012, Vienna, Austria, 2012, pp. 7-10.

G.V. Merkuryeva, Y. A. Merkuryev, "Advanced River Flood Forecasting and Simulation", in Proceedings of the 25th European Modelling and Simulation Symposium, EMSS2013. September 25-27 2013, Athens, Greece. Ed. by Agostino G. Bruzzone, Emilio Jimenez, Francesco Longo, Yuri Merkuryev, pp. 525-529.

V. Bolshakov, "Regression-based Daugava River Flood Forecasting and Monitoring," in Scientific Journal of RTU, Series 5, Computer Science, 2013.

Roy A. Badilla, "Flood Modelling in Pasig-Marikina River Basin," Master Thesis, International Institute for Geo-information science and Earth Observation Enschede, Netherlands, 2008, 73 p.

S. M. Crooks, "Flood Studies at the River Basin Scale: Case Study of the Thames at Kingston (UK)," Centre for Ecology and Hydrology / Technical Report No. 53, 2011.

"Astrium web site." [Online]. Available: www.astrium- geo.com/sg/3271-data-processing [Accessed: July 31, 2013].

L. Iritz, "Conceptual Modelling of Flood Flow in Central Vietnam," Department of Water Resources Engineering, School of Engineers, Lund University, Sweden, P. 10.

G. Corani, G. Guariso, "Coupling fuzzy modelling and neural networks for river flood prediction," in IEEE Transactions on Men, Systems and Cybernetics, 3 (35), 2005, pp. 382-391.

ICPDR Report, Assessment of Flood Monitoring and Forecasting in the Danube River Basin, International commission for protection of the Danube River, Flood Protection Expert Group, 2010, P.19.

G.T. Dharmasena, "Application of mathematical models for flood," in Proc. Of the conference on Destructive Water: Water-Caused Natural Disasters, their Abatement and Control, IAHS Publ., No 239, 1997, pp. 225-235.

M. Horritt, P. Bates, "Evaluation of 1D and 2D numerical models for predicting river flood inundation," Journal of Hydrology, no. 268, 2002, pp. 87–99.

P.D. Bates, A.P.J. De Roo, "A simple raster-based model for flood inundation simulation," Journal of Hydrology, 236, 2000, pp. 54-77.

J. Galland, N. Goutal, J.-M. Hervouet, "TELEMAC—a new numerical- model for solving shallow-water equations," Advances in Water Resources, 3 (14), 1991, pp. 138-148.

B. Gouweleeuwa, C. Ticehurst, P. Dycea, J. Guerschmana, A. Van Dijk, P. Thew, "An experimental satellite-based flood monitoring system for Sourthen Queensland, Australia," presented at IRSE 2011 Symposium, Sydney, 10-15 April 2011.

M. Affenzeller, S. Winkler, S. Wagner, A. Beham, Genetic Algorithms and Genetic Programming: Modern Concepts and Practical Applications. Chapman & Hall/CRC, 2009.


  • There are currently no refbacks.

Copyright (c) 2013 Galina V. Merkuryeva, Maksims Kornevs

Creative Commons License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.